Man that's rougher than I expected. 0/3, either we got really unlucky or supply vs. demand is way out of whack :(

Edit: Here's a website that's giving some rough estimates! https://steamframeout.com/

Edit 2: And this one: https://steamhardware.io/tracker/steam-frame/

Email from Valve: You are on the waitlist for Steam Frame 256GB Kit. When we did the one-time randomization of the list, your place in line ended up beyond the number of Steam Frames currently available for reservation. As we work our way through the reservation queue, some customers may cancel their reservations. If that happens, you may be moved into the reservation queue, and you'll be notified via email that you have a reservation after all.
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[–] [S] 2 points 8 hours ago (2 children)

I don't actually mind that, as it gives a worst case estimation and it is likely to be better in reality. Better than the other way around

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  • [–] 1 point 1 hour ago (1 child)

    What do you mean by worst case?

    I cannot provide a good source (besides the book "How to measure anything") for this, but probably 50 random participants would be enough to provide a pretty accurate estimate of waitlist wait time. That‘s orders of magnitude less than the data these sites have, but they are probably less accurate.

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  • [–] [S] 1 point 21 minutes ago

    What do you mean by worst case?

    As you said these sites are likely to overrepresent waitlisted people. As a fellow waitlisted person, I'm using them to get an idea of how "bad" the situation is, i.e. to curb my expectations about moving to the reservation list at some point. Waitlisted people being overrepresented will make the situation look worse than it is, meaning I'm more likely to be positively surprised than negatively.

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