Pretty much, yeah.

https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/usa/united-states/death-rate
Ngl. Lot of optimistic leaps being made off of what is essentially a lull.
Like, nothing about this screams "Covid is going away" to me.


(Edit: and again, I really gotta emphasize, the data quality being used to make the estimates for the last 4 years are of dramatically less quality than that used for the estimates of 2021 and 2022.)
Imo, the variant churn from Memorial day weekend travel is typically what kicks off the summer surge, so I guess we'll see how that goes. Maybe high prices will tamper things.🤞
