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Do you think the ground invasion of Iran is likely? (hexbear.net)
submitted 6 months ago* by to c/askchapo@hexbear.net
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Boots on the ground or TACO as usual?

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[–] 10 points 6 months ago (7 children)

But can't they just do a terror attack, get some fake concession (like Iran "acquiescing to opening the strait," but it's just because the US has stopped attacking) and declare victory?

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  • [–] 12 points 6 months ago (6 children)

    Why would Iran agree to that?

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  • [–] 9 points 6 months ago (5 children)

    Maybe I'm misunderstanding something, but I thought the main point of the strait closure was to put pressure on the US and Israel to stop with their aggression, so if they do stop with their aggression, the strait can be opened again. Of course, Iran would not agree to characterizing it as a concession, but the western media establishment can just claim that it's Iran lying to save face when really it's the west doing so.

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  • [–] 30 points 6 months ago (2 children)

    At this point Iran's demands are for a complete US withdrawal from the region, because they have object permanence and know that an agreement to simply stop the active conflict is inherently temporary and will be broken again essentially at random.

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  • [–] 18 points 6 months ago (1 child)

    Iran's cost benefit ratio is like 1:100, nobody is going to stop blowing up US military equipment when you have an opportunity like that, plus everything they destroy now can't be used in the next air strike or ground invasion or naval blockade. Also the US lies so the next ceasefire is probably an assassination attempt anyways.

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