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me🇺🇦irl (sh.itjust.works)
submitted 2 years ago by to c/me_irl@lemmy.world
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[–] 13 points 2 years ago (4 children)

Are you sure that Ukraine is not winning?

It is a war of attrition with Russia against the amount of aid the West is willing to provide to Ukraine.

The only way Russia wins is if the US changes the balance of power by enriching Russia (dropping sanctions) or impoverishing Ukraine (dropping support).

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  • [–] -4 points 2 years ago (3 children)

    If they were winning, we'd see russian advances on the battlefield stopping or being reversed, and what we are seeing is the exact opposite.

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  • [–] 9 points 2 years ago (2 children)

    The advances are minuscule (18% in thee years?!), and Ukraine is starting to have successes in the recent days. And they took a chunk out of Russia. And they interdicted the black fleet. And...

    You know, catastropes arrive slowly, and then suddenly, you can't extract some future information about what's happening today.

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  • [–] -5 points 2 years ago (1 child)

    Like I said: Ukraine has resisted and won many battles, but overall the war is not going their way. Russia has taken a small part of Ukraine, but it's most of what they've claimed as theirs. If anything, the coming catastrophe is more likely to come from the ukrainian side (with all the recruitment difficulties) rather than the russian one.

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