Researchers have predicted the collapse of the AMOC could happen any time between 2025 and 2095 — far sooner than previous predictions, although not all scientists are convinced.

=====

What if...

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] 51 points 3 years ago (5 children)

TL;DR: New statistical model suggests that the AMOC (including gulf stream) could collapse to the much slower pattern by 2025 to 2095. This is a century earlier than previous predictions and the researchers were concerned. There is some questions on the accuracy of the model used, and that needs more research.

Personally I don't think we should wait for further testing to vet the model before acting. Try to do better now.

  • source
  • hideshow 5 child comments
  • [–] 2 points 3 years ago (2 children)

    It's kind of important whether it's 2095 (prepare for it, set up nuclear, reduce carbon emissions) or 2025 (fuck global warming, we need fuel and we need it now, the more carbon emitted the better).

  • source
  • parent
  • hideshow 2 child comments
  • [–] 3 points 3 years ago (1 child)

    Local cooling still global warming overall.

    The collapse of the current in the model is a direct result of global warming. The solution is to act like climate change is an emergency because it is.

  • source
  • parent
  • hideshow 1 child comment
  • [–] 1 point 3 years ago

    Scientists shouldn’t talk about the chances of not if something is sure enough. Politicians will latch onto that. Just make broad statements and go. Just like with the movie ‘Don’t look up’.

  • source
  • parent