Feels outlierish to me just given what we've seen consistently for the past several months and I can't point to something either candidate has done that would be a cause for such a shift. Unless the conviction really matters that much to people, which I guess it might? A complete collapse would be a good way to describe such a shift but again, where's the cause. The economy is still shit and worsening, Israel and Ukraine are both disasters, big rightward turn in Europe, I just don't see it.