French: Let’s end with some lightning round questions. First, since the trial has started, in your view has the chance of conviction gone up or down?

Roiphe: Up.

White: Up significantly.

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[–] 16 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Interesting article. This point bothers me the most, because I feel it's so true deeply in my bones. When discussing Trump's team potentially losing the trial but winning political points, they say:

Practically, the appeals process will inevitably take time, and I doubt if Trump wins the election, he would be sent to state prison. So maybe in the long run, it’s not a terrible miscalculation.

I feel like even a guilty verdict still does not mean Trump will ever see consequences.

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  • [–] 5 points 2 years ago (1 child)
  • [–] 3 points 2 years ago

    Interesting. As much as Trump has been trying to paint Merchan as totally corrupt, he's actually shown significantly more leeway than I think he would show any other defendant. When it came to the contempt charges, he specifically stated that he didn't want to jail Trump because he was a former president and current candidate. With that in mind, I would be shocked if he chooses to jail Trump during the appeals process.

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