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There's also a better than zero chance US vassals will follow.
I actually don't see this tbh. Unlike India and US, no other Western-aligned country has a domestic industry in this area to protect and the EU really loves to fine tech giants for free money, so TikTok is overall good for them
I don't think 'good for them' is the thing that matters here though. The EU is a massive market for Instagram and we've seen first hand in recent years where EU leadership's loyalties lie.
It's possible they won't follow the US lead but I wouldn't be too surprised if they do.
Good point... I'd imagine the list of countries that would follow is probably similar to the list of countries that banned Huawei
https://www.reuters.com/technology/european-countries-who-put-curbs-huawei-5g-equipment-2023-09-28/