The RAM I bought in 2019 for $100 is now over $500. at this rate I'll sell it in a few years to put my daughter through college.
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it will be ironic when consumers cant afford the end user devices needed to interact with the AI servers. House of cards??
I've come to terms with the fact I'm not going to be buying any new computer-type devices until the bubble pops.
I'm just terrified what happens if one of my existing devices breaks. If a RAM stick goes bad, I might have to mortgage my non-existent house.
In case you are being serious, there are ways around faulty RAM sticks, usually just a few cells/rows are affected. In case anyone needs to know this, here is a pretty good summary on stackoverflow on how to deal with this on linux. In general, look for "memmap".
Keep your hardware running as long as possible! Iirc newer RAM is unfortunately somewhat more susceptible to failing. My DDR3 is still working fine.
At this rate I'll be able to sell my ddr3 from over a decade ago and make a profit compared to what I paid originally
It's a good thing I saved the 24GB of DDR3-1600 from my old laptop. I might actually be able to get some money for it.
I have 256GB DDR3 ECC, I'm ready for RAM to turn into 2017 bitcoin at this point!
I see this as an opportunity to get invested in non-tech hobbies because there’s nothing else I can do
Yup, was going DDR5 this year, got a new bike (Marin Larkspur) instead, such a good decision, renewed my love of cycling, having a ball.
Mini painting, get addicted to plastic crack. Seems to be cheaper than tech hobbies these days.
Get a resin printer and you can print infinite minis.
Yep, definitely not buying any new computers any time soon. If anything breaks I’ll try to live with it as much as I can.
Fuck this pricing.
Things are probably going to get worse in the short term, but the AI bubble is going to burst. Magnitude? We'll see, but when investors realize that these companies cannot make a profit, and open source frontier models that allow you to run AI in house are removing vendor lock in, things are going to change. Also, LLMs are a dead end, and have little room to improve.
Newer paradigms are appearing, such as Yann LeCun's JASP, which actually learns, and other approaches, which will make LLMs obsolete, and are way less hardware intensive.
Another factor is the Chinese closing in in consumer grade RAM. If it can be proven that no backdoor or other shenanigans are there, they will balance things somewhat.
While current reality is what it is, there may be a massive social and traditional media manipulation by the big three and other interested parties to fuel fear of rising prices forever, to push people to buy as much as they can at these prices. I have no proof of this, but I don't think it's far fetched.
And let's not forget that for media outlets, fear and tragedy sells. (I think Hearst or some other news mogul said that last century.)
Yann LeCun's JASP
Wait, this is my first time reading about this. Got an ELI5 or TL;DR?
Thought I could wait to build a new PC, but at this point, it'll be another 5-10 years before things start getting better. After the price of the steam machine, I ordered parts to build my own. Such a bad time to build, but it's just gonna get worse the longer I wait.
If they get better. By the time the AI sector collapses under the weight of its own bullshit, things will have already gotten significantly worse. You’ll be less worried about RAM prices and more worried about bread prices.
I could crash the prices by tomorrow if I wanted to. All I'd have to do is buy some ram today.
I am figuring on selling off my previous machine once the teething issues with the new one has been resolved. Given these specs, what would be a fair price, Lemmings? I was guessing around $2,250 without the drives, but I am not really on the pulse of the market.
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CPU = Ryzen 5950x + Noctua heatsink with Kryosheet.
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PSU = SeaSonic Vertex GX-1200
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MOBO = Crosshair Hero VIII + WiFi
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CASE = Rosewill Thor V2
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RAM = DDR4 3600, 128gb total, came as a kit of 4 sticks.
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STORAGE (OPTIONAL) = x2 to x5 4tb SSD SATA drives, non-NVME.

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The biggest issue here is doing an RMA on the CPU. It is unstable when PBO is enabled. Since I suck at techno surgery, I wouldn't be able to install the replacement without forking over money to a technician. Maybe I can make that contingent on buying at least 2 SSD SATA drives?
My new machine has only 4 SATA ports, and the SATA card to support all five SSDs and the optical disc drive is taking up a GPU slot. Being able to buy some 2280 M2 drives would solve that problem for me. That would gel nicely with a technician handling the transfer of the SATA SSDs back to the old machine for the new owner, since the tech can also get the M2 and a third GPU into my new PC.
The ‘AI’ angle is purely cover for the manufacturers actively choosing to now behave like the pharmaceutical industry. They’ve identified a window to pull this shit, and coordinated this opportunistic collusion.
The only meaningful response is to create a diverse production base to remove the choke point the current incumbents are leveraging, but that would require a concerted, collaborative effort by parties who can’t see and/or don’t understand the problem.
To play devil's advocate; it might be that the RAM producers see AI as a bubble, and it would be incredibly risky to expand their production now, when it won't come into effect until a handful of years from now.
RAM and SSD manufacturers have already seen many many dips and rises in price over decades.
However, that all of them are deciding not to expand and potentially rake in the cash is more than a little sus.
I'm not sure how to feel about it personally. I hope the true cost of maintaining these AI models gets passed down to customers soon so that it either crashes and burn, or at the very least stabilises the market.
These price gouging assholes should probably be prosecuted along with the "AI" fraudsters.
No reference to CXMT’s memory that’s just starting to be sold in western markets now, I’m very curious if/how that’ll affect things. If corsair’s cxmt kit can hold pricing steady, let alone drop it, for a 2x16 6000MHz CL36 kit then it could be huge
Yeah there's a lot of doom here, but I keep saying that there are reasons that they are locking in 5 year price guarantees, it's because they know it's going to crash back down, whether it be bubble or normalization or Chinese. It'll take some time, but it's not forever.
Recent leaks suggest that Sony will either have to sell its upcoming PlayStation 6 console at a minimum of $960 or push the launch date back into 2028 or even beyond that.
I seriously think that they should push it back to 2028.
I think that Valve's making a mistake by not pushing back the Steam Machine to 2028 too, though at least for Valve, a hardware platform flopping isn't a big deal, since they don't rely on it alone to make sales.
Or maybe I'll be wrong, and gamers will be significantly less price sensitive than they have been in the past. But my guess is that they aren't gonna be jumping on consoles with a pricetag that's that high. As I said before, the only console to be successful in the past that cost nearly that much in inflation-adjusted terms was the Atari 2600. Everything else failed.
8Gb of ddr4 is $25 usd and 16Gb ddr4 sticks are going for about $75 usd goes up from there depending on speed.
How long does it take a company already established in the sector to build a RAM factory?
Around 4 years. The creation of any microchip requires extremely stable geology, pristine rooms, high levels of training, Scrooge McDuck moneybins, and so on. It isn't an industry that can turn on a dime.
4 years after they break ground. God knows how long to decide the location, bribe the authorities to get tax breaks...

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