Article discusses the effect of rising hardware prices on the deck.

Some highlights:

How much worse has the pricing situation gotten for Valve since November? Superdata Research founder and SuperJoost newsletter author Joost van Dreunen suggested that the 512GB Steam Machine model would probably run $50 to $75 more than he expected when the Steam Machine was announced, and to expect a price “potentially $100+ above target” for the high-end 2TB model. That would mean a $599 to $629 price at the low-end and $849 to $899 for the high-end model, in his estimation.

Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter agreed that, even with the additional component costs, Valve would likely “try to get it out at $599 or so for the 512GB version,” A starting price higher than that would mean “abysmal” sales, he added. “I think $700 is a death sentence and $1,000 is unsellable.”

I'd recommend reading the article though, it has a lot more of value than just those quotes. It goes on to talk about how the price increases will likely hurt valve more than traditional console makers, and how these increases will affect sales.

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[–] 65 points 7 months ago (2 children)

A an 8GB RX 7600 is around $300. Add everything else and $700 sounds about right. May not sell high volumes but there's got to be dozens of manufacturers making minipcs. It's still a full on computer. It's be a good value workstation. My gaming PC is my photo and video editor

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  • [–] 29 points 7 months ago

    Yeah… $700 sounds totally reasonable to me. Do I wish it were cheaper? Sure! I would love for it to be accessible to more people.

    But $700 seems very reasonable for the hardware being offered.

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  • [–] 64 points 7 months ago* (5 children)

    Michael Pachter is, was, and always will be a complete idiot. Back in the PS2 era he stated that it was no big deal if Sony sold out in North America, they could just move units over from Europe... ignoring the fact that both the video and electricity standards don't match.

    $700 isn't a "death sentence", know how we know this?

    ROG Xbox Ally X - $1000
    PS5 Pro - $750
    Xbox Series X - $650
    ROG Xbox Ally - $600
    PS5 - $550
    Steam Deck - $550
    Xbox Series S - $450

    If Valve REALLY wanted to break people's brains, they would release a "Supply your own RAM and storage" version for $399.

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    [–] 55 points 7 months ago* (4 children)

    I really don't understand the hand-wringing about the cost. I see comments all the time about how it's "DOA" at some price or another and it strikes me as someone projecting their own preferences and values, including the "analyst" quoted in the article.

    As an outside observer you don't know a) Valve's goals; b) almost anyone else's preferences and values.

    I say this as someone who enjoys gaming, won't ever buy a console and won't ever build a gaming rig. This product is perfect for me and I'd have to feel like Valve were purposely screwing me to not buy it. I may be a minority but I can't be alone.

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  • [–] 22 points 7 months ago (1 child)

    Yeah, you're absolutely right. I'm in a slightly different demographic, but am still really interested in the steam machine. I'd be happy building my own gaming rig, but:

    1. Pricing out all that stuff, ordering it, building it is a lot of work, I'd want to see some benefit for that work,
    2. After pricing it all out, maybe I look at a steam machine and decide it's a better deal.

    Realistically, steam machines, consoles, and custom gaming rigs are all approximately the same hardware and the same market. If the price of the steam machine is going up, so is its competition.

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  • [–] 6 points 7 months ago

    Yeah I think that was my point about feeling like Valve is purposely screwing me. Microsoft showed with the Xbox Ally X that their appetite for hardware subsidies is waning (perhaps even their appetite for hardware at all).

    Valve has a lot of goodwill with Steam Deck owners and I think if they price it at a number higher than any one person's expectations, that person is less likely to think it's Valve's fault, than if Sony were to do the same.

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    [–] 27 points 7 months ago (4 children)

    I have been, since day fucking one, befuddled by how people think this thing is going to be anything less than $700, it just does not add up to me.

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  • [–] 21 points 7 months ago (1 child)

    It's not a console, stop expecting console prices. A $1000 price point wouldn't even surprise me.

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  • [–] 20 points 7 months ago (2 children)

    We expected it to be more than that, actually. If it's $700, that's pretty good. It's not a Switch. It's a prebuilt gaming PC in a tiny form factor. Building a gaming PC today with the same horsepower would probably set you back a lot more than that, and you'll also have a giant tower taking up space.

    It's not for me, but I can think of at least 3 people in my family who would get a lot of value out of it at that price point. No PC-building headaches, no researching every bit of hardware and comparing prices and performance, no tedious planning of the cooling layout, no thermal paste, no separate warranties and RMA headaches for every individual component, no Windows bullshit, not needing an entire corner of the room just for the tower, perfect for the living room, driver and software updates that apply to and work for every customer, I could go on. I don't see any downside for the average gamer. Sure, if you're an FPS penny pincher who simply has to OC and have the best of the best and latest hardware, it'll not appeal to you. But that's a minority of gamers.

    $700 is a dream. $1,000 is reasonable in the current climate I guess, but pushing it a little. $1,500 would be unfortunate, but it really depends on what extra value the system comes with from Valve. I wanna know their RMA and warranty plans. If they're anything north of "Kafkaesque", which is how it is with virtually every other hardware manufacturer/reseller, the extra money might actually be worth it, for one's mental health. If they send out a replacement unit before you have to return a defective one, for example, that would be enough to justify a little more cost, but that's coming from someone with a long and storied history of nightmarish, abusive RMA practices. I'd suck a dog's dirty dick to not have to go through that shit again.

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  • [–] 19 points 7 months ago (2 children)

    “I think Valve was hoping for a much lower price and that the component issue would be short-term,” Cole said. “Obviously it is looking more like a long-term issue.”

    I think we all knew this would be a long term issue.

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  • [–] 17 points 7 months ago* (3 children)

    It's basically a gaming laptop.

    Taking out the screen, the windows license, and some of the margin since Valve will make it back with game sales, $1,000 was the minimum expectable price before RAM got pulled into the “AI” bubble.

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  • [–] 3 points 7 months ago (2 children)

    If they can make the steam deck for $350, why would the steam machine cost 3x more? Similarly if Sony and Xbox are selling their consoles for $500-600 it would indicate that something a bit more would be feasible. Sony and Xbox get some economies of scale, but most evidence points to them selling at cost or making some profit (from what I recall).

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  • [–] 14 points 7 months ago (11 children)

    With all the revenue from Steam, how much of a loss could they afford to go all in on with these? Do they care about profit or shifting the market from Windows to Linux (or, hell, just giving the finger to Microslop)?

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  • [–] 18 points 7 months ago* (1 child)

    Valve has said repeatedly they won't subsidize it heavily because it's more of a generic desktop than the deck was. A low subsidized price could attract buyers that wouldn't spend money on games (ie. using for office machines)

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  • [–] 11 points 7 months ago*

    Exactly. And we saw people doing that with the Steam Deck. Disney was using it to control their robots. Ukraine was using them to control IRL turrets. That's just what we know of.

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  • [–] 15 points 7 months ago (4 children)

    They would instantly catch an anti-trust case from Epic for trying to use their dominant software position to undercut hardware manufacturers and take control of both gaming hardware and software.

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  • [–] [S] 7 points 7 months ago (2 children)

    They were supposedly able to take a loss on the original Steam Decks, at least the lower priced 64GB models. There's also an argument to be made that this device is primarily competing with consoles, where Steam doesn't have a monopoly. Steam also allows games from other stores to be run on their unlocked device, it's not their fault that Epic decided not to make an offical linux launcher.

    But I'm not a lawyer, and I'm sure Epic will try to start anti-trust investigations over anything they can.

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  • [–] 21 points 7 months ago*

    They were supposedly able to take a loss on the original Steam Decks, at least the lower priced 64GB models.

    They. Did. Not.

    The only thing remotely suggesting that is GabeN saying the price point was "painful" in a single interview.

    Valve has stated that the Steam Decl wasn't sold at a loss. GabeN was likely referring to the profit margins being very low, which is not the same as selling at a loss

    Why the hell can't this myth just die already?

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  • [–] 3 points 7 months ago

    The problem with a price war is Valve is "just" a multi-billion dollar company, very impressive for their size but a $100bn company like Sony and especially a $3 trillion company like Microsoft could squeeze them out of the market.

    And they would have to subsidise the cost by far more than Sony/Microsoft do due to the smaller scale of production and more expensive newer contracts.

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    [–] 13 points 7 months ago* (4 children)

    Here's a way to think of it:

    It's a mini-pc.

    But a bit bigger.

    So... yeah, even if it is expensive by console pricing standards... $600 to $1000 is actually a pretty reasonable range for comparably powerful mini-pcs.

    Look up like NUCBoxes or Minisforum miniPCs.

    The runor that MooresLawIsDead was initially running with was that the actual custom chip they are using was originally slated to be used in something like a new variant of a MicroSlop Surface tablet.

    AMD fabbed a bunch, MicroSlop bailed on the idea, leaving AMD with a bunch of weird custom chips they don't know wtf to do with.

    Valve then goes to AMD, begins to uh, think with portals, or whatever.

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  • [–] 3 points 7 months ago (3 children)

    Also to get access to using it as a PC fully, PC Games, Way More Apps, and mod support is more than worth it

    Its basically Steam Deck in a different way

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  • [–] 3 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (2 children)

    Yes, that's all true.

    It is not just a console, it is a full-on PC.

    Run your own home media mode, browse the web, make stuff in Blender, write and compile code, etc, I do all of that regularly with my docked Steam Deck.

    But I went with Mini PC rather than Steam Deck for comparison because, though it very much literally is a Steam Deck 3.0, in a lot of ways... I think its closer to a mini PC than anything else.

    MiniPCs are basically small boxes often comparable to, I dunno, a large jar of pickles, in size. They... also do not have the functionality of a gamepad controller, or built in screen, as actual physical parts of them.

    And they basically always have integrated cpu+mobo, RAM is usually laptop SODIMM form factor, and then either the cpu they use is actually an apu, or an npu, as opposed to laptops often having a discrete but laptop sized gpu, or full-on pcs typically having full-on gpus.

    Or, its becoming more common for a mini-pc to juat be designed with either an oculink port, or a usb 4.0/tbunderbolt port, with the idea being that its a decent general purpose work pc in its own, and if you want to game on it (or do some other kind of more intensive work like video editing/rendering, complex 3d model creation, etc), you get an eGPU cradle, stick a power supply and desktop GPU in it, and then connect it to the miniPC, which can then use that GPU nearly as efficiently as if it were just directly plugged into it.

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  • [–] 9 points 7 months ago

    As long as it's comparable price or cheaper than a pre-built of similar specs or building a similar build yourself, they'll be a market for it. There's always people looking to get into PC gaming and existing PC gamers who want their Steam library in a console form factor.

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  • [–] 7 points 7 months ago (4 children)

    They can set the asking price to whatever they want but I have zero interest in the "why" in terms of a high price, which for me is anything over about £450. Anything more than that and it simply isn't appealing to me. I don't care whether that's reasonable or not in terms of their costs. My wallet cannot in any form justify anything more on what is primarily a toy. It's one of the reasons I don't have a current gen console but have had at least one from each generation going back to the mid 1990s.

    If you ask more than I'm willing to spend, no sale. Sorry, guys.

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  • [–] 2 points 7 months ago (1 child)

    What is life if you aren't spending some of it on stuff you enjoy doing? Adults should be able to spend large amounts of money on stuff that is primarily a toy if they enjoy that toy. I get it if you're saying you literally cannot afford to eat and buy that expensive of a toy, but for most people saving their pennies for long enough warrants buying an expensive toy. It's also fine if you prefer spending your money on experiences rather than things, but saying it's an invalid purchase because it's a toy is pretty silly.

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  • [–] 7 points 7 months ago (1 child)

    Will the steam box have slots for ram or SSD so the user can upgrade the hardware later?

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  • [–] [S] 10 points 7 months ago*

    The m.2 SSD is easily accessible, it comes with a 2230 m.2 (same size as the Steam Deck), but has room to install a full size 2280 m.2. It only has room for 1 though, so while you can upgrade to a larger size you can't add a second. Swapping out the m.2 will require cloning your drive or reinstalling SteamOS to the new drive.

    There's also a high speed microSD slot for even easier space upgrades, and microSDs with games can be swapped directly between the Deck and Machine.

    For RAM, it uses laptop DDR5. It is user upgradable, but isn't as easy to access as the m.2 drive is.

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  • [+] 6 points 7 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)
    [–] 4 points 7 months ago

    I hope I can hold off because I wasn’t planning on buying new pc hardware until 2027. But what if the steam machine is sold out and the powerful components are unattainable by that point?

    Gotta get my money’s worth from the old stuff.

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  • [–] 4 points 7 months ago

    I'm still buying it

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  • [–] 3 points 7 months ago* (1 child)

    Right now i have my steam deck in a dock hooked up to the tv along with a couple cheap bluetooth controllers. A tiny silent PC capable of true 1080p instead of upscaled 720p would be attractive. Sure I could build a SFFPC that could easily outperform the steam machine (but why? as my TV can only do 1080p/60fps), but I doubt I could build something as nice for a similar price.

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