I find it very hard to believe that AI will ever get to the point of being able to solve novel problems without a fundamental change to the nature of "AI". LLMs are powerful, but ultimately they (and every other kind of "AI") are advanced pattern matching systems. Pattern matching is not capable of solving problems that haven't been solved before.

If they stick around, maybe. If it falls into a rut, then investors are going to pull out and we'll be in another AI winter.

Replace "AI" with "metaverse" or "Bitcoin". Same bullshit