Kellyanne's comment is an embarrassingly dumb take of course, but I don't know if she's wrong in judging voters. I am mentally preparing for the worst this year...because it really does seem like the GOP just cannot underestimate the voting population.

For example, check out the poll citations at the end of this Guardian article: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/jan/01/biden-trump-new-years-message

The USA Today and Suffolk University survey, condensed by the Guardian, found that Biden had 34% support among Hispanic voters surveyed, down from 65% in 2020, compared with Trump’s 39%. Biden’s support among Black voters had also declined, from 87% to 63%.

Among younger votes under 35, Trump leads Biden 37% to 33%, a spread that four years ago was 24 points in Biden’s favour.

It's dumbfounding that in any poll, any time that Trump leads among voters under 35 and hispanic voters, and has 24 points less Black support. Yes, it's one poll, yes, it's too early to really matter. But Biden is somehow underwater in 538 polling by double digits. And this is following an election that Biden won by around 50,000 total votes.

My point here is not to discourage people from voting or to be nihilistic, or resign themselves to Trump. It's the opposite. We need to get very fired up, because we are in an echo chamber, and the world outside of it seems to have the memory of a goldfish and a similar capacity to recognize fascism. I'm saying this because we are going to need every single vote in November, and we need to start talking to people outside of our bubble sooner rather than later.