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Israel's reluctance to start the ground invasion is based on three realities (hexbear.net)

submitted 2 years ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders
Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah
Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose

These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren't bombing an imprisoned civilian population.

Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?

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[-] [email protected] 13 points 2 years ago

In this case I think with regards to #1 and #3 again I point to the Ukraine war and how the NATO axis realy believes their actual superiority shit, they actualy believe they'll just march and the enemy will just run away in fear, that their toys are invincible etc.

I think the difference is that NATO has never had to go peer-to-peer against an enemy that could fight back so that's why it was so arrogant. The IDF has a recentish memory of going into Lebanon and getting it's shit pushed in, so it probably has a more sober assessment.

this post was submitted on 14 Oct 2023

110 points (100.0% liked)

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