IMO you're reading way too much into the value proposition of passwords. Services can "deny service" for arbitrary reasons already with zero consequences, but your idea is that they will ban based on... passkeys? You've got people banned from youtube for arbitrary comments. You've got MS locking out non-profits for arbitrary reasons. But in your mind, those all pale in comparison to what will happen if we all start using passkeys? I'm not buying what you're selling.
You seem to think that’s tangential, but I reject that. It’s kinda the whole point.
I didn't say it was tangential. Attestation is for very specific purpose. Non-attested credentials are not sufficient for government and corporate security. I cannot allow BYO hardware to authenticate my users on my services. I highly doubt any public service would require attested passkeys. I doubt passwords will stop being allowed, almost ever, so you probably have nothing to fear. Maybe you can throw that comment back in my face in 20+ years, heh.
Here's another counter-point: Google, Apple, et. al already implement proprietary authentication mechanisms. Sign-in prompts on recent devices, email codes, etc. are all proprietary. None of these companies killed passwords despite having implemented the tools to do exactly that with vendor lock-in. All the evidence is the opposite. This is one of the first times we're even getting an open standard authentication, the exact opposite of "walled garden".
Authenticating based on a shared secret is an interface with a special property: there’s no way for a service provider to know how you remember a secret.
The same special property that allows rampant attacks on the public. I deal with so many people with compromised email inboxes, malware installs, stolen credentials, etc. Passwords are not the end solution to end user security, and I welcome improvements that also simplify UX.
I think we've probably hashed out enough of the sides of the argument. Good luck to you.