I might offer a counter opinion I heard from Struggle 4 on twitch the other day. He pointed out two reasons why he thinks they won't. First was that they don't need to because it doesn't really net them more control or power. And second was the optics of the US admin then saying they were justified on the international stage.

I think it's a pretty strong argument, but I could see it going either way. If it were me, I'd make the nuke.