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[–] 4 points 6 hours ago (1 child)

the great filter

The problem with "Great Filter" Theory is that we have yet to identify even non-intelligent life outside of Earth.

It's one thing to say intelligence is self-terminating. Or, at least, incapable of sustained extra-terrestrial expansion. It's quite another to say every other observable planet in the galaxy must have already experienced intelligent life and wiped itself out before we started looking.

Far more likely that we're in a Dark Forest than a Great Filter. Or, at a minimum, that we are unable to identify extraterrestrial life because we haven't figured out how to spot it at such a large distance.

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  • [–] 1 point 50 minutes ago

    I don't think there's a conclusion that's "far more likely" than other; multiple explanations explain the data equally well.

    My preference for the great filter is just based on my pessimism on how not only power works, but how the human mind works. Since life is everywhere and always competitive, short-term survival is what life will always be programmed for; and beyond biology, we have systems. Greedy systems--systems that seek power at the expense of everything else--will be advantaged over systems that seek equilibrium.

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