He probably knew what to expect, but thought he had a better "system" that would let him be part of the pump and dump profiteers by getting in and getting out faster than the other schmucks who were being taken for a ride. (If he'd read the terms that locked him into holding it for years before being allowed to sell, he might've figured out that he was about to become a schmuck who'd be taken for a ride.)
Anyway, it's not gambling if you win every time!