I haven't kept up with it for the past year, but I know enough not to trust western headlines out right or sources that say Russia has twice the casualties. But also Putin has made plenty of missteps so far.
Ignore the lib map.
UA war machine is knocked down for like 2 years already, but they can still run a war because everything that require more than small workshops or field repair is produced and repaired in NATO countries which Russia don't bomb because they don't want WW3.