I am willing to bet $10 that Apple is going to be the only one of the FANG gang that survives this mostly unscathed. Apple is at the end of the day a hardware company and when everything goes to shit, they're going to be able extract some brutal concessions from TSMC and Samsung. Yes Apple has thrown more than a few billion in, but they still have their ocean of cash largely untapped.

The way things are going with Nvidia and AMD abandoning their partners and Intel continuing to flop around without any semblance of a plan; Apple is going to be in an amazing position strategically.

Meanwhile Micron, Samsung, TSMC, and the other big fab I keep forgetting the name of are going to have these massive holes in their spreadsheets as "guaranteed" orders evaporate. Very likely going to be more than a few suicides with those unfortunates who didn't tap out before the music stopped.