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Do you think the ground invasion of Iran is likely?
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yep, although i wonder if they are doing surprise on baluchistan coast, or the opposite, in the west coast. i think islands are a misdirection, unless i completely misunderstand what 5k soldiers can do in stranded environment. but then again, sane options as i see them are just staging parts for beachhead, which will require shipping another 50k troops over time not spending opening the strait, so im kinda baffled.
although i think people underestimate turkey or pakistan backstabbing prowess.
the only other possible read is they are doing delcy, somehow, with someone (pez) to make it look good
i would say it's all bs, if it weren't (a) trump (b) oil prices being what they are.