After his arrest, probably 50/50.

I say this as a liberal with conservative family. They’ll vote for him again.

Despite the Capitol's riot, a survey showed 1/3 of Americans thought Biden's presidency was illegitimate. The conservatives see the lawsuits as political prosecutions.

I'd say unless the non-trump voters come out to vote in a historical number like the last election, he stands a good chance of becoming a president again. And a number of states have passed laws that would make it harder for some subsets of voters to vote.