this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2023
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I don't think crossing the Rubicon, then turning around and cutting a deal is a good move for Prigozhin. Sure, he got what he wanted, but time will tell just how long he'll get to enjoy it. Putin is a guy who has brazenly (and openly) assassinated dissidents that that had fled abroad. I don't doubt that the military folded and Putin had to back down, but I still think the FSB is still aligned with Putin. As long as that's the case, I don't think Prigozhin will ever feel safe.
As long as he stays away from windows, he will be fine. /s
I agree with you, I don't think it is smart. Putin will not accept this deal, as he lost face in this conflict. Sure he will make the deal, but that doesn't mean he won't lock up Prigozhin or worse. Smartest move for Prigozhin is to continue.
Especially if as the news report, he will move to Belarus. Speaking of it, is he moving by himself with his entourage, or also "his" army? Because all the sudden having the Wagner moving men and material inside Belarus is "a ruse" in itself to create another front line for Ukraine... to say the least.