That's just natural. Discord has a huge weight of numbers. People stay where they already are, unless there is significant motivation to move.

Matrix would have to be MUCH better than Discord in terms of features to attract people to move their whole communities and friend groups, not just simply on-par. And that's pretty tough.

So yes - we're basically waiting for Discord to continue its slow march into enshittification.

Matrix is getting better constantly tho. I havent had any issues introducing non techie people to it.

it is getting better at least

Any service whose main strength is "OSS, privacy, freedom, security" will usually never hit mainstream success. I say this as a FOSS enthusiast.

You need funding to get better easier, which is something matrix doesnt have alot of