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[–] 2 points 52 minutes ago

Yeah... I'm sure the bubble will pop any minute now.

Just like the Housing bubble.

And the Crypto bubble.

This article is conditioning.

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  • [–] 14 points 7 hours ago

    The company I work does pretty basic analysis. Its certainly an “every day” application. It’s been two or three years they’ve been Investing large amounts of money into this, and it can’t do shit. We have been “training” it for faaaaaar longer than it would take to train a human to do these things. Plus, they’ve torn it apart and completely restarted the process at least twice, to my knowledge. Zero efficiencies, very little practical capability. I hear that it’s great at coding and math, I’ve seen it do word processing pretty good, but these assholes oversold it’s capabilities to the managerial class, and they fucking took it. Hook, line, and sinker.

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  • [–] 18 points 8 hours ago (2 children)

    I believe the implosion of the AI bubble will essentially torpedo the only thing still supporting the US economy?

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  • [–] 8 points 8 hours ago

    Yes. When the bubble finally pops it means AI is here to stay and the remaining companies will probably climb 100x over the next two decades, but all the people currently invested will lose almost everything. The people not invested will still feel the effect as the layoffs and bankruptcies start rolling out, and anyone pension or retirement that is tied to bubble will lose a lot of value.

    This will come right as the bond market is reaching the point of no return, and the US won't be able to pay back the debt. A lot of people are going to lose everything, including their retirements during the debt liquidation that is coming.

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  • [–] 14 points 8 hours ago

    Nothing an injection of taxpayers money can't fix!

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  • [–] 19 points 9 hours ago (1 child)

    This is the first major real sign of the bubble popping. An actual verified report from the Financial Times regarding massive drop in revenue expectations, rather than just people hoping it pops.

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  • [–] 13 points 8 hours ago

    It hasn't been people hoping. There are quite a few analysis papers out there doing the math of the impossibility of achieving profitability of the current US model. Chinese models offering equivalent performance for 10x lower cost, and near frontier level open weight models to run in house for the cost of the hardware, and this hardware being way more modest, makes the bubble pop a certainty. As with data loss, the question is when, not if.

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  • [–] 12 points 8 hours ago

    Could they not have asked their top-tier LLM for advice on how to avoid this massive loss? No? Oh.

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  • [–] 11 points 9 hours ago (2 children)
  • [–] 7 points 8 hours ago
    [–] 3 points 7 hours ago

    Oh no! If only someone could buy then once they go into bankruptcy... someone like... Microslop perhaps?

    (mark my words, this will almost certainly happen)

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  • [–] 8 points 10 hours ago

    Who could have possibly seen this coming?!

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  • [–] 17 points 12 hours ago (9 children)

    Since I haven’t seen it yet in this conversation, I think I need to bring some better context to what this article is claiming.

    No, OpenAI did not assume they were making $70 billion. They’ve always known their existing number. In fact, that number IS what was reported to investors.

    The $70 billion number is coming from a specific investor that wanted to adjust the definition of revenue to get a more “apples to apples” comparison to Anthropic’s numbers.

    When these companies license their models to hypervisors (AWS, Azure, etc), those hypervisors take a cut. OpenAI does not report that cut as revenue. This investor wanted to add it back in to get a “total demand for AI tokens” number.

    They are 2 completely different metrics coming from 2 completely different groups.

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  • [–] 12 points 12 hours ago (8 children)

    Are you suggesting that The End is not, in fact, Near? And OpenAI is not about to collapse into bankruptcy, ending the entire AI ecosystem?

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  • [–] 12 points 12 hours ago

    Maybe I’ll go out on a limb and say this specific piece of news is not indication of the AI apocalypse. There are still plenty of things to be skeptical of long term, but this itself is not an indication of an inevitable crash.

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  • [–] 2 points 9 hours ago (1 child)

    Impossible the bubbles never burst

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