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If Trump wins the election (lemmy.world)

submitted 7 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

14 comments fedilink hide all child comments

Let’s say Trump wins and Europe loses its security guarantee from the US.

Then the EU beefs up its military and coordinate its combined forces and military production up to the point that they are no longer in need of US military assistance in future conflicts.

What will be the ramifications for the US if this was to play out in terms of trade, geo political influence etc.

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[–] [email protected] 9 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

I think Europe would then be forced to intensify its relations with China. Since China has so far been somewhat cautiously supportive of Russia's military expansion policy, or at least has not decisively sanctioned it, I think that would be a reasonable way of minimizing the risk of military aggression from Russia in the first place. I hardly believe that Russia would risk a military conflict with Europe if they could not expect support or even just tolerance of such actions from China. The consequence for the USA would then not only be a loss of strategic military influence in Europe, but probably also considerable losses in terms of trade and so on.