this post was submitted on 11 Jul 2023
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Spinny drives are definitely going up in price. Recently did a NAS build (5x16tb in z1), and disks were the biggest cost by far. And then like a couple weeks after I pulled the trigger on the disks, I couldn’t find anything comparable that was anything close to what I paid - easily 20-30% more expensive at best. I’m very glad I bought them when I did!
If I had to guess, consumer-grade PCs are starting to shift to SSDs exclusively now that NVMe can be had dirt cheap for decent quality. I think huge old-school disks are basically being mostly relegated to data centers now, and even then, the demand isn’t what it was before (again, due to far cheaper SSDs across the board, even at the enterprise/DC tier). I would further hypothesize that the recent cliff-like price hike may have been due to retailers burning through available inventory, and now they’re dealing with major HDD manufacturers seriously scaling back production capacity.
Might be local price fluctuations or some issues with supplies. About 3 years ago I got a 14 TB HC530 for about 450 EUR; now there's the 22 TB HC570 for about the same money and a 20 TB model for about 100 EUR less.
Yeah, who knows… I’m just glad I was able to buy a batch of NAS-optimized 16s at around $220/each :P
$220 is definitely under the regular price for something like this; so you've caught some good prices, then saw the regular prices again later.