Before I read: I am guessing this is about how meta will absolutely kill the fediverse and that nobody will be using it after they federate on activitypub. Will edit after I read
edit: yup lol, just bad. It assumes XMPP was killed by Google when in fact it is not and still alive. The main big clients still get updates and the main Android client should even get a Material 3 redesign this year! The big Linux client Dino has got a Libadwaita update! But XMPP is dead you tell me. Oh well... Plus in this context, Meta can't really kill the fediverse since 1. it will just end up exactly in the state we are in today and 2. I like the point Mastodon made, the fediverse already has a almost semi-mainstream brand: Mastodon. That alone could very well save it.
In the post it talks about the Fediverse winning. Yeah sure, blocking 99% of the users of the fediverse is winning. An anti-social social media. Talk about an attractive for the mainstream people, that will surely NOT push them to centralized platforms like Threads... Plus I am 99% convinced that Threads being federated is just because of the EU laws forcing interoperability between services, so they can say they support open protocols for communication.