this post was submitted on 15 Oct 2023
593 points (99.8% liked)

196

16416 readers
1894 users here now

Be sure to follow the rule before you head out.

Rule: You must post before you leave.

^other^ ^rules^

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
 

Happy Sunday, or Monday, depending where in the world you are!

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Some things to consider:

  • Local elections and proposals...
    • ...make a huge impact to people's lives
    • ...tend have quicker impacts
    • ...are far more heavily influenced by a single vote
    • ...can jump-start a leftist politician (or a policy position), getting them ready for state or national campaigns down the road
  • Judges really friggin matter, and they aren't categorized by party, so they're a prime section for a well-informed voter to make a difference
  • All elections cost money to win
    • Even in deeply red or deeply blue states
    • If the GOP lead shrinks from 20% to 15%, that will translate to more money the GOP has to spend next time around or else risk further slipping into single digits and making a new battleground state
    • Momentum really helps keep costs low. It doesn't seem like slipping from 20% to 15% should make the GOP panic, but it would
    • Voter turnout is lower in more deeply red/blue states, meaning your vote actually counts more in closing the gap
  • Getting your preferred candidate in office is not the only measure of electoral success
    • Even candidates that get absolutely destroyed on election day can still shift the local or national conversation
    • Candidates that perform better than pollsters expected can influence future candidates to pay more attention to the issues that brought out those extra voters
  • There aren't just voters staying home until there's a candidate worth voting for -- there are also good candidates who are staying home until there are enough voters to support them
  • Milton Friedman, bastard that he was, was right about this:

    Only a crisis - actual or perceived - produces real change. When that crisis occurs, the actions that are taken depend on the ideas that are lying around.

    • We want leftist ideas to already be lying around at the moment they are needed. We can't wait until after the crisis has already occurred to start organizing and showing up. It'll be too late.
    • The Patriot Act was 131 pages, signed into law 45 days after 9/11. That wasn't a reaction to 9/11, starting from scratch. Someone had a wishlist already, and they had a PowerPoint deck ready to go on September 12th full of proposals that Congress had already seen 100 times but was never ready to vote on before.