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Israel's reluctance to start the ground invasion is based on three realities (hexbear.net)
submitted 2 years ago by to c/politics@hexbear.net
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  1. The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders

  2. Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah

  3. Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose

These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren't bombing an imprisoned civilian population.

Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?

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[–] 30 points 2 years ago
  1. The IDF might spread itself too thin but I'm not quite sure that's a concern for them.
  2. "Their rapidly crumbling international support" Let me know if Turkey or Egypt is included in that claim.
  3. Is the correct reason.

Gaza is one of the densest urban areas in the world and is currently occupied by a demonstrably well organized and committed defenders, who have had decades to prepare. On top of that, IDF infantry was proven to be surprisingly ineffective in 2006. Conventional military wisdom is to level the city to the ground, like Raqqa or Aleppo, instead of doing an infantry invasion. I doubt they have any plans to actually invade until Gaza is leveled.

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