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110

Israel's reluctance to start the ground invasion is based on three realities (hexbear.net)

submitted 11 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders
Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah
Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose

These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren't bombing an imprisoned civilian population.

Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?

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[–] [email protected] 22 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 children)

Israel wouldn't be defeated, but they sure would face a higher loss than they are used to. I imagine he bombing is meant to level the place before they enter to reduce their losses.

But they outnumber and overpower the resistance by far

[–] [email protected] 29 points 11 months ago

Israel doesn't have the wherewithal to maintain a ground invasion in the face of massive casualties, which is exactly what they would face. Would they kill more Palestinians than IDF soldiers would die? Yes. But winning isn't about getting the best KD. It's about being able - militarily, economically, and politically - to carry out your operation until your objectives are achieved. They lost in 2006, and that's what created the status quo blockade.