this post was submitted on 23 Jul 2026
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Data is Beautiful
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I hate this graph. First, the ceiling is 2.5%, but the floor is -0.5%, which skews the data to look more impressive at the top end and show the floor more drastically. The second is that it starts at 1950, skips 30 years, and then goes in 20 year segments. Third is that half of the graph is guess work. Sure, maybe it's a good guess, but estimating population growth 80 years into the future based on information from the baby boomer generation is wild. Over all, this is a graph with an agenda. Maybe the agenda is needed and necessary, but math isn't biased. Math is absolute. Skewing the math to make it say what you want it to say is bad practices.
Interesting, but not beautiful.
What makes u think the prediction is based on the Baby Boomer Generation? I think the prediction is very much rather based on how the fertility rate drops the further a country develops. Higher education levels and better living conditions have shown to reduce the fertility rate in western countries, and now that developing countries are catching up, we can expect (and we see that already) that their fertility rates are dropping as well, hence being a good basis to estimate the future total population numbers.