The list of valid use cases for AI is bound by "what is the worst possible consequence of a mistake done here", because the statistical distribution of mistakes in terms of severity of consequences of things like Agentic AI is uniform (meaning, they're just as likely to do the worst mistakes with the nastiest consequences as they are doing the smallest mistakes), which it is not the case with humans who make more of an effort and give more attention to avoiding catastrophic mistakes and also have a "this is stupid" (i.e. don't put glue in pizza, don't tell a suicidal person to kill themselves) recognition capability which also stops a lot of the nastiest mistakes.

This is something which is not noticeable to most people because most people don't have deep enough process experience in at least one expert domain and process analysis experience, to upfront recognized anything beyond the "in your face" elements of using AI (or using anything, really) in a process.

Very few people would think "what's the risk profile for this business of giving this thing these responsabilities".

So they seriously overestimate what are valid use cases for AI, something that the hype around it also pushes for: not a single AI vendor will ever mention just "error distribution" or anything close to it.

Obviously, when the thing blows up catastrophically by doing something which for a human is "obviously a bad idea", THEN people recognized that AI is unsuitable for that, but by then its often too late.

(Easy example: lawyers using AI to make submissions to the Court and ending up disbarred because those submissions "quoted" invented case law).

So I don't expect Agentic AI to fuck society up by taking a large fraction of the jobs, I expect Agentic AI to fuck society up by an accumulation over time of random catastrophic mistakes that kill people and collapse otherwise stable companies, mistakes that humans in such positions would never do or at least be way less likely to do.

It's going to be akin to death by cummulative poisoning.

UBI makes sense even without an employment apocalypse. Flat tax (simple tax, everybody everywhere pays the same tax rate for everything all the time) has one basic flaw: it's regressive, the poor need a certain amount of money just to live, the rich have that well in hand even with their taxes... UBI fixes that, without complicating the tax code, without complicated "needs based benefit tests" etc. Maybe some of the population needs special handling, SNAP cards for nutritional food, etc. but in my view the vast majority do not - take care of the majority, treat them equally with the simplest rules imaginable, then when you hit special case addicts who can't be trusted with cash because they'll spend it all on their vice and have none left for housing or food: A) we all know they aren't needy because everyone gets UBI - so obviously there's another problem and B) don't give them cash, give them the food and housing vouchers instead.

Your fellow workers who are currently being devalued by AI need to get off their asses and figure out how they can provide OTHER value that AI isn't undercutting their salary costs on. This has been a slow train rolling at us for a few years now, I ignored it until 12 months ago, even 12 months ago it clearly couldn't replace me but, it was also obvious that it was improving quickly, and there were "simple tricks" that made it work dramatically better.

everyone needs to be so goddamn polarizing and god forbid we have a mature honest discussion about ...

... everything. Seems like that's part of the basic debate process, from the Scopes Monkey Trial back through Gallileo to The Athenian Debate on Mytilene (427 BCE) and beyond.

Recorded by Thucydides, Cleon argued for the total extermination of all adult male citizens of a rebellious city to project absolute strength. Diodotus argued from a position of pragmatic mercy, highlighting the extreme ideological shifts in classical democracy during wartime.

I’m done with all of you.

Hey, the feeling is mutual, all of us would also like it if you fuck off to the middle of nowhere. Don't forget to take all your "useful technology" with you while you're at it.