It's a very weird team sport thing. You tend to see a lot of incredibly lucid and detailed conversation in academia about it, but lab leak and natural origin split into a political argument for the majority of people who have it.

But interestingly, a lot of governments accept the lab leak theory, maybe because the project of finding and testing wild viruses for potential pandemic response was an internationally funded project that all governments either quietly or loudly (in the case of the US) stopped funding immediately once a pandemic happened. Kinda understandably, fat lot of good that did.

No one wants the smoke if it was a lab leak, if it was a purely natural thing at this wet market, well that can happen at any wet market anywhere in the world, there is no culpability there.

What we do know is that we'll likely never know the true origin of the virus, because the place it happened didn't cooperate with finding the source of it. And if they have more evidence than the same samples and maps everyone else has, they aren't telling.