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AI must be stopped... (lemmy.world)
submitted 1 year ago by to c/whitepeopletwitter@sh.itjust.works
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[–] 8 points 1 year ago (15 children)

So is a lot of types of investing, so that's really not a good definition, and just like investing if you know what you are doing you can come out way ahead with an almost guarantee with shorting

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  • [–] 10 points 1 year ago (3 children)

    Investing in any single thing is gambling in my book.

    Sure, it can pay off, but it can go badly too, and "knowing what you're doing" is what everyone thinks they're doing, right up to the point where they don't.

    Although shorting Tesla might not be a bad plan right about now. Seeing Trump and Musk destroy each other is what I live for.

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  • [–] 7 points 1 year ago (2 children)

    Shorting tesla might not seem a bad plan for about a decade now, the market can remain illogical longer than the premiums you pay on the short position.

    Well you can also have "know how" from other things, for example years ago I was following a lot of PC hardware news and for me it was sure as fuck that both AMD and Nvidia will only increase for a while, Ryzen was starting to go strong and Intel was not putting up competition, and the then crypto market nicely transitioned into AI for keeping demand for Nvidia products high af.

    Anyone who knew someone from the boeing factories or had knowledge of what went on in that company likely should have known to short the shit out of the boeing stock the moment the first 787 Max went down.

    Really the stock market involves a lot of paying attention to stuff and then trying to to bet on the more likely stuff, it's never a guarantee is it.

    Right now I am mostly paying attention to the car market, there I would say shorting US car manufacturers is a decent bet, Nissan if the stock is still low is a decent investment target, I don't think they will go under and they have some nice cars at good prices.

    Stellantis went through a bit of turbulence, but they are coming out with some good stuff now, so they could see some upswing.

    But really I haven't even looked at the stock prices so this might be all stupid shit.

    If you don't want to gamble just invest in ETFs every month and you will be fine.

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  • [–] 1 point 1 year ago (1 child)

    If you don’t want to gamble just invest in ETFs every month and you will be fine.

    I mean, that's still gambling. If you invest in a world-wide, well-spread, low-cost ETF, you're essentially betting that the worldwide economy will grow faster than inflation+costs.

    That's a pretty safe bet, but still a bet.

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  • [–] 1 point 1 year ago

    That's a pretty safe bet, but still a bet.

    Depends on how much your national government taxes investment compared to savings account. Here the difference means it's the same expected value just with more variance

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  • [–] 8 points 1 year ago (3 children)

    Correct me of im wrong. But cant you lose an infinite amount if the stock rockets up and the share owners comes asking their shares back?...

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  • [–] 1 point 1 year ago

    It's never really "infinite" in practice. What it really means is that the amount you can lose isn't bound by the money you put into the trade. If you buy a stock normally, you can only lose up to the amount of money you used to buy it. With shorting, you can lose 5x, 10x, 20x the amount of money if things go wrong for you.

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  • [–] 1 point 1 year ago (6 children)

    In a similar vein to the other person responding to you, how exactly does one 'know what they're doing' on the stock market without being tied in to VC firms, etc.?

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  • [–] 5 points 1 year ago (5 children)

    If you aren't a trader you likely don't know and therefore you shouldn't go around shorting shit, or if you do post your losses on the wallstreetbets community on lemmy or reddit if there is no lemmy version

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  • [–] 1 point 1 year ago* (4 children)

    No I'm not exactly interested in shorting, I didn't get wound up with the apes on Reddit. I'm mostly just curious, I don't understand it.

    Edit: I understand what shorting is, I do not understand why shorting happens to the companies it happens to.

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  • [–] 1 point 1 year ago (3 children)

    I understand what shorting is, I do not understand why shorting happens to the companies it happens to.

    People believing the current price to be higher than the future price.

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  • [–] 1 point 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

    But is that it? Isn't shorting entirely speculative and based on whether anyone is actually watching the stock closely? To my understanding, that was the reason VC firms chose businesses like Gamestop and BB&B to short. Am I wrong about this?

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  • [–] 2 points 1 year ago (1 child)

    Isn't shorting entirely speculative and based on whether anyone is actually watching the stock closely?

    What's correct about that sentence is that shorting is speculative. It's a type of contract a person can use, to their financial benefit, if they believe strongly that the market price of a stock or product will decrease.

    Where they get that believe from, is irrelevant. I didn't follow the gamestop meme closely, so can't speculate on their believe.

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  • [–] 2 points 1 year ago

    Ah, ok. Yeah my understanding was they would short stocks that were likely to decrease in value down the line and that they chose stocks like GS or BB&B because it was unlikely for something like the wallstreetbets shenanigans to happen (emphasis on unlikely).

    Again, I'm not interested in shorting. I feel like I need to emphasize that lol.

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