Imo, nobody won here and the reddit user lost everything. The Fediverse wasnt ready for the influx of users and lost its chance to "win" for a long time. The sites couldn't support the load and there was a lack of polished mobile apps that felt familiar to people that wanted to browse and shit post.
Without content -- without interaction, a platform whithers; and my experience, so far, has been comment oasises while scrolling through pages of desert.