Does Trump have the Black vote though? I know conservatives like to make a lot of noise how "all the Blacks and Hispanics are moving right!" but I don't really think that's true. Sure, Trump might have more of the Black vote than in 2016/2020, but that's probably still far from a majority.

Kamala had none of the Black vote in a primary where you had Bernie (an actually good candidate by USA standards), Biden (running on Obama nostalgia) and that whole massively crowded primary field. This is a presidential election and her opponent is Trump, I'm doubtful that it's still true that she is floundering when it comes to the Black vote.