this post was submitted on 27 Jul 2024
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Emissions have been falling in the US and EU since ~2005 or so, and look to be about to start falling in China, which means that they'll be falling worldwide after this year.
But...they'll likely be falling slowly, rather than rapidly, which is a problem.
That's a really hopeful reading of that chart. What I see in that chart is that even a year or two of falling emissions could quickly be wiped away. Just look at 2022.
It's a bit more than that; there are policies in place which make Chinese emissions likely to slowly drop from here on out