this post was submitted on 16 Jul 2024
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chapotraphouse
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I'm ready to get dunked on but here we go
spoiler
I'm engaging in speculative trading (meaning: buying and holding stocks for 3-5 years) and betting on the rise of a multipolar world. In practice this mean for me: I pick a stock in the Chinese market that I think will eventually outperform a western company (e.g. EV, semiconductor, fusion, renewables, etc. - actually I picked a company that's on the US blacklist) and buy an amount where I'm ready to lose the money (I'm aware of the privilege) and just hold it. I follow the news mega so I get a good dose of financial press to keep up.
Check out this person over here, thinking they can be a communist like this. Everyone knows communists need to forsake all wealth and worldly possessions to achieve enlightenment!
Invest into land with water rights cause 😬
How do i do this can you dm me?
spoiler
I don't want to go into very specifics for various reasons, but can elaborate on the approach/process and thinking. Also the risk involved.
We are in decades weeks times and there's a lot of geopolitical shifts happening. This means lots of investment/speculation opportunities. Dialectical and historical materialism let's you understand the laws governing these shifts and helps you find investment opportunities easier™ (This felt soo dirty to type lol)
Following the news mega and reading the coping and seething in WSJ, CSIS, FT etc. articles in regards to China, reading our comrades very insightful comments to contextualize I have been able to get a sense of what industries are interesting to look at.
As a starting point I took the US entity list/blacklist of Chinese companies that you're not allowed to trade. Since I'm euro based, this doesn't apply to me so I took it from there. Must be a reason why they're forbidden fruit, right? This is a major risk though. Euros are cucked by US foreign policy and might follow suit. Your assets can be frozen, stock can be worthless, etc.
First of all it'll require lots of reading and research on the industry/company you'd like to invest in. Find out what they're making and what their strategy is. Also take into consideration what the CPCs strategy is i.e. don't buy evergrande when the CPC has been signaling not to
Once you have a pick (ideally basket of picks to diversify risk), stick with it for 3-5 years. Any news that comes out will have a major impact on the stock price, so you'll need to have nerves of steel. You're not doing day trading after all (which is pure casino).
There's significant financial risks involved, so be prepared to lose it all. Just look at the Russian sanctions how far things can go. The geopolitical rift between china and the US is heating up so never know how it can go.
Good luck
Ah ya being yank prolly fucks me huh
Unless you look for companies that are not on the blacklist but in a geostrstegic industry. You'd still have the risk that they could end up on the blacklist..