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this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2025
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Israel was running out of interceptors and wanted to quit. Israel cannot do a war of attrition. The tide was turning but Iran handed Israel the win. Massive L for Iran.
Iran was shocked by a massive opening blow in the middle of negotiations which allowed Israel to disable many launcher sites and take air superiority in those regions preventing Iran from accessing their full capacity.
Regardless of this, Israel still just couldn't handle sustained pressure from Irans remaining weapons.
Israel started the war with the goal of regime change and destroying Irans nuclear capabilities, they did neither.
If the war starts back, Iran will still have the capacity to overwhelm Israeli defense and Israel will have to rely on another surprise attack, which is much less likely now that Iran has seen their strategy for doing such.
It's in no way an L for Iran, much less a massive one.
It's an L for Iran in respect to killed military commanders and civilian toll, but an ever greater L to Israel because they not only failed the goal of regime change (if anything, made it more difficult by bombing Iranian civilians) but also experienced a breakdown in their defense capabilities and got bombarded for 12 days, breaking the facade that Israel is unable to experience repercussions for their violent aggressions