this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2024
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If landlords can’t pay back loans on office buildings, the lenders will suffer. Some banks are trying to avoid that fate.

Hard times are likely ahead for a lot of people. Mind your expenses and plan to save where possible just in case. Apologies for having a doomer outlook; I'm very cynical about capitalism, especially in the USA.

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[–] [email protected] 19 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

Tough situation for banks and people working inside them. For those clamoring that it is 2008 all over again, it is, because the way markets and companies work has not changed (and a bank is just another type of company).

Suppose you are a chief risk officer of one of those banks before Covid hit. You have been hired by the CEO so you need to play with the CEO to advance his/her agenda. Other banks are lending more and more to commercial real estate developers as there is demand and they are paying their loans on time. Your own bank's board of directors and CEO are putting pressure to join the market and lend more to those property developers otherwise you own bank's profit will look lower than the competition. You know that, by doing so, the concentration of loans in that sector will become quite high but, if you keep resisting, the CEO and/or the board will find someone more amenable who doesn't seem to panic when every other bank is making money. Then you cave in. You decide to approve more business going to those loans although you caveat that this might exceed risk appetite and gets the board and CEO to formally approve it as well.

Now the bank is proudly going with the flow and investors are not complaining anymore.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 5 months ago (1 children)

the CRO isn't there to stop risk, in the same way that HR/ethics-and-compliance people aren't there to protect people.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago (1 children)

this is true. but regulators still hold CROs accountable for that .

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago

Sucks to be a CRO, heh.